Publications list

Peer review journal articles | Books and book chapters | Reports and briefing documents | Other publications | Home Page Menu

Follow the links to get more information on the different publications

Peer review journal articles

  1. Valero, F., J.F. González, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and J.A. García-Miguel, (1996). A method for the reconstruction and temporal extension of climatological time series. International Journal of Climatology, 16, 213-227, doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199602)16:2<213::AID-JOC996>3.0.CO;2-7.
  2. Valero, F., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and J.F. González, (1996). On long-term evolution of the seasonal precipitation in Southwestern Europe. Annales Geophysicae, 14, 976-985.
  3. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., (1997). The lower stratosphere quasi-biennial oscillation in an atmospheric general circulation model. Anales de Física, 93, 158-163.
  4. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., and M. Déqué, (1998). A flexible bandpass filtering procedure applied to midlatitude intraseasonal variability. Monthly Weather Review, 126, 3326-3335.
  5. Orsolini, Y, D. B. Stephenson, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes, (1998). Storm track signature in total ozone during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Geophysical Research Letters, 25, 2413-2416.
  6. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M. Déqué, F. Valero, and D. B. Stephenson, (1998). North-Atlantic wintertime intraseasonal variability and its sensitivity to GCM horizontal resolution. Tellus, 50A, 573-595.
  7. Stephenson, D.B., K. Rupa Kumar, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, and S. Pezzulli, (1999). Extreme daily rainfall events and their impact on estimating the predictability of the Indian monsoon. Monthly Weather Review, 127, 1954-1966.
  8. Stephenson, D.B., and F.J. Doblas-Reyes, (2000). Statistical methods for interpreting Monte Carlo ensemble forecasts. Tellus, 52A, 300-322.
  9. López, I, R. Oyarzun, A. Márquez, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and A. Laurrieta, (2000). Progressive build up of CO2 in the atmosphere of Venus through multiple volcanic resurfacing events. Earth, Moon, and Planets, 81, 187-192.
  10. Pavan, V., and F.J. Doblas-Reyes, (2000). Multi-model seasonal forecasts over the Euro-Atlantic: skill scores and dynamic features. Climate Dynamics, 16, 611-625, doi:10.1007/s003820000063.
  11. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M. Déqué, and J.-Ph. Piedelievre (2000). Model and multimodel spread and probabilistic seasonal forecasts in PROVOST. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 126, 2069-2088.
  12. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M.A. Pastor, M.J. Casado, and M. Déqué (2001). Wintertime westward-traveling planetary-scale perturbations over the Euro-Atlantic region. Climate Dynamics, 17, 811-824, doi:10.1007/s003820000146.
  13. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M.J. Casado, and M.A. Pastor (2002). Sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency to the detection index. Journal Geophysical Research D, 107, ACL 6 1-22.
  14. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., V. Pavan, and D.B. Stephenson (2003). Multi-model seasonal hindcasts of the NAO. Climate Dynamics, 21, 501-514, 10.1007/s00382-003-0350-4.
  15. Orsolini, Y., and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2003). Ozone signatures of climate patterns over the Euro-Atlantic sector in spring. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 129, 3251-3264.
  16. Coelho, C.A.S., S. Pezzulli, M. Balmaseda, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and D.B. Stephenson (2004). Forecast calibration and combination: A simple Bayesian approach for ENSO. Journal of Climate, 17, 1504-1516.
  17. Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres, M. C. Thomson (2004). Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85, 853-872.
  18. Cantelaube P., J.-M. Terres, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2004). Climate variability influences on European agriculture. Analysis for winter wheat production. Climate Research, 27, 135-144.
  19. Mueller, W., C. Appenzeller, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M. Liniger (2005). A debiased ranked probability skill score to evaluate probabilistic ensemble forecasts with small ensemble sizes. Journal of Climate, 18, 1513-1523.
  20. Hagedorn, R., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and T.N. Palmer (2005). The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. Part I: Basic concept. Tellus A, 57, 219-233.
  21. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn and T.N. Palmer (2005). The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. Part II: Calibration and combination. Tellus A, 57, 234-252.
  22. Stephenson, D.B., C.A.D.S. Coelho, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M. Balmaseda (2005). Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multimodel weather and climate predictions. Tellus A, 57, 253-264.
  23. Lazar A., A. Vintzileos, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, P. Rogel and P. Délécluse (2005). Seasonal forecast of tropical climate with coupled ocean-atmosphere GCMs: On the respective role of the atmosphere and the ocean model components in the drifting mean climate. Tellus A, 57, 387-397.
  24. Pavan, V., S. Marchesi, A. Morgillo, C. Cacciamani and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2005). Downscaling of DEMETER winter seasonal hindcasts over Northern Italy. Tellus A, 57, 424-434.
  25. Morse, A.P., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M.B. Hoshen, R. Hagedorn and T.N. Palmer (2005). First steps towards the integration of a dynamic malaria model within a probabilistic multi-model forecast system. Tellus A, 57, 464-475.
  26. Challinor, A.J., J.M. Slingo, T.R. Wheeler and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2005). Probabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles. Tellus A, 57, 498-512.
  27. Palmer, T.N., G. J. Shutts, R. Hagedorn, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T. Jung and M. Leutbecher (2005). Representing model uncertainty in weather and climate prediction. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 33, 163-193.
  28. Wang B., Q. Ding, X. Fu, I.-S. Kang, K. Jin, J. Shukla and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2005). Fundamental challenge in simulation and prediction of summer monsoon rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L15711, doi:10.1029/2005GL022734.
  29. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Hagedorn and A. Weisheimer (2005). Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 360, 1991-1998, doi:10.1098/rstb.2005.1750.
  30. Coelho C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M. Balmaseda (2006). The skill of empirical and combined/calibrated coupled multi-model South American seasonal predictions during ENSO. Advances in Geosciences, 6, 51-55.
  31. Coelho C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda, A. Guetter and G.J. van Oldenborgh (2006). A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America. Meteorological Applications, 13, 73-82.
  32. Thomson, M.C., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, S.J. Mason, R. Hagedorn, S.J. Connor, T. Phindela, A.P. Morse and T.N. Palmer (2006). Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles. Nature, 439, 576-579.
  33. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn, T.N. Palmer and J.-J. Morcrette (2006). Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L07708, doi:10.1029/2005GL025061.
  34. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn and T.N. Palmer (2006). Developments in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agricultural management. Climate Research, 33, 19-26.
  35. Coelho, C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, M. Balmaseda, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and G.J. van Oldenborgh (2006). Towards an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America. Journal of Climate, 19, 3704-3721.
  36. Rodwell, M. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2006). Predictability and prediction of European monthly to seasonal climate anomalies. Journal of Climate, 19, 6025-6046.
  37. Liniger, M.A., H. Mathis, C. Appenzeller and F. J. Doblas-Reyes (2007). Realistic greenhouse gas forcing and seasonal forecasts. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L04705, doi:10.1029/2006GL028335.
  38. Vitart, F. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2007). Impact of an increase of greenhouse gas concentrations during the past 50 years on tropical storms in a coupled GCM. Tellus A, 59, 417-427.
  39. Semenov, M. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2007). Utility of dynamical seasonal forecasts in predicting crop yield. Climate Research, 34, 71-81.
  40. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer and M. Rodwell (2008). Towards "seamless" prediction: Calibration of climate-change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89, 459-470.
  41. Xavier, P.K., J.-Ph. Duvel and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2008). Summer monsoon intraseasonal variability in coupled seasonal hindcasts. Journal of Climate, 21, 4477-4497.
  42. Casado, M.J., M.A. Pastor and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2008). Euro-Atlantic circulation types and modes of variability in winter. Theoretical Applied Climatology, 96, 17-29, 10.1007/s00704-008-0036-2.
  43. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., C.A.S. Coelho and D.B. Stephenson (2008). How much does simplification of probability forecasts reduce forecast quality? Meteorological Applications, 15, 155-162.
  44. Berner, J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, G. Shutts and A. Weisheimer (2008). Impact of a cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 366, 2561-2579, 10.1098/rsta.2008.0033.
  45. Bechtold, P., M. Koehler, T. Jung, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Leutbecher, M.J. Rodwell, F. Vitart and G. Balsamo (2008). Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: From synoptic to decadal time-scales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 134, 1337-1351.
  46. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J.M. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith and T.N. Palmer (2009). Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical seasonal forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135, 1538-1559, doi:10.1002/qj.464.
  47. Maycock, A.C., S.P.E. Keeley, A.J. Charlton-Perez and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2009). Stratospheric circulation in seasonal forecasting models: implications for seasonal prediction. Climate Dynamics, 36, 309-321, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0665-x.
  48. Shongwe, M.E., R.G. Graversen, G.J. van Oldenborgh, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2009). Energy budget of the extreme Autumn 2006 in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-009-0689-2.
  49. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra and P. Rogel (2009). ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L21711, doi:10.1029/2009GL040896.
  50. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer and M.J. Rodwell (2009). Reply to comments to "Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90, 1551-1554, doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2916.1.
  51. Koster, R.D., S.P.P. Mahanama, T.J. Yamada, G. Balsamo, F. Vitart, A.A. Berg, G. Drewitt, M. Boisserie, P.A. Dirmeyer, Z. Guo, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, C.T. Gordon, J.-H. Jeong, D.M. Lawrence, W.-S. Lee, Z. Li, L. Luo, S. Malyshev, W.J. Merryfield, S.I. Seneviratne, T. Stanelle, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, E.F. Wood (2010). The contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from multi-model experiment. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L02402, doi:10.1029/2009GL041677.
  52. Casado, M.J., M.A. Pastor and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2010). Links between circulation types and precipitation over Spain. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 35, 437-447, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2009.12.007.
  53. Philippon, N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and P. Ruti (2010). Skill, reproducibility and potential predictability of the West African monsoon in coupled GCMs. Climate Dynamics, 35, 53-74, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0856-5.
  54. Xavier, P.K., J.-Ph. Duvel, P. Braconnot and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2010). An evaluation metric for intraseasonal variability and its application to CMIP3 20th century simulations. Journal of Climate, 23, 3497-3508, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3260.1.
  55. van den Hurk, B.J.J.M., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, G. Balsamo, R. Koster, S. Seneviratne and H. Camargo Jr (2011). Soil moisture effects on seasonal temperature and precipitation forecast scores in Europe. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0956-2.
  56. Stockdale, T.N., D.L.T. Anderson, M.A. Balmaseda, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, L. Ferranti, K. Mogensen, T.N. Palmer, F. Molteni and F. Vitart (2011). ECMWF seasonal forecast System 3 and its prediction of sea surface temperature. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0947-3.
  57. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T. Jung and T.N. Palmer (2011). On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L05704, doi:10.1029/2010GL046455.
  58. Koster, R.D., S.P.P. Mahanama, T.J. Yamada, G. Balsamo, A.A. Berg, M. Boisserie, P.A. Dirmeyer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, G. Drewitt, C.T. Gordon, Z. Guo, J.-H. Jeong, W.-S. Lee, Z. Li, L. Luo, S. Malyshev, W. J. Merryfield, S. I. Seneviratne, T. Stanelle, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, F. Vitart and E.F. Wood (2010). The second phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil moisture contributions to subseasonal forecast skill. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12, 805-822, doi:10.1175/2011JHM1365.1.
  59. Ma, S., X. Rodó and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2011). Evaluation of the DEMETER performance for seasonal hindcasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.2389.
  60. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M.A. Balmaseda, A. Weisheimer and T.N. Palmer (2011). Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations. Journal Geophysical Research A, 116, D19111, doi:10.1029/2010JD015394.
  61. Weisheimer, A., T.N. Palmer and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2011). Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L16703, doi:10.1029/2011GL048123.

Books and book chapters 
* peer review

  1. Quesada, V., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and F. Valero (1995). Caracterización de situaciones persistentes y su relación con la precipitación. In Situaciones de riesgo climático en España, 187-196, J. Creus, ed., CSIC, Jaca, Spain.
  2. Déqué, M., and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (1998)*. Evaluation of the 2xCO2 impact on European climate variability with a variable resolution GCM. In The Impact of Climate Variability on Forests, Lecture notes in Earth sciences, M. Beniston and J. L. Innes eds., 74, 59-79, Springer, Heidelberg.
  3. Hagedorn, R., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and T.N. Palmer (2006)*. DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts. In Predictability of Weather and Climate, 674-692, T.N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn eds., Cambridge University Press.
  4. Coelho, C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda and A.K. Guetter (2006). Assimilacao Bayesiana de previsoes climaticas de chuva para a escala da bacia. In Recursos Hidricos: Jovem Pesquisador 2005, 79-103, J.N.B. Campos ed., Associacao Brasileire de Recursos Hidricos.

Reports and briefing documents 

  1. Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (1994). Effet de la resolution spatiale sur la performance du blocage du GCM Arpege/IFS. Météo-France GMGEC Technical Note No 41, Météo-France, Toulouse.
  2. Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (1996). El bloqueo atmosférico: simulación en un modelo de circulación general y patrones de precipitación asociados. Ph.D. thesis, Complutense University of Madrid.
  3. Déqué, M., and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (1997). Variability and extremes in a 2xCO2 numerical simulation. Météo-France GMGEC Technical Note No 60, Météo-France, Toulouse.
  4. Déqué, M., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and P. Marquet (1998). Impact on regional scale time variability of a CO2 doubling. In Research activities in atmospheric and oceanic modelling, A. Staniforth ed., WMO-TD 865, 7.1-7.2. 
  5. Stephenson, D.B., K. Rupa Kumar, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, and S. Pezzulli (1998). Extreme daily rainfall events and their impact on estimating the predictability of the Indian monsoon. Météo-France GMGEC Technical Note No 63, Météo-France, Toulouse.
  6. Casado Calle, M.J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and A. Pastor Saavedra (2000). Teleconexiones en la altura de geopotencial de 500 hPa en dos escalas de tiempo: Análisis comparativo entre los reanálisis del Centro Europeo y simulaciones de modelos climáticos. Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, SVPC Technical Note No 2, INM, Madrid.
  7. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A. Pastor Saavedra, and M.J. Casado Calle (2000). Tropospheric intraseasonal westward-traveling waves in the Euro-Atlantic region. Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, SVPC Technical Note No 4, INM, Madrid.
  8. Casado, M.J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M.A. Pastor (2002). Estudio de la variabilidad atmosférica en la región euro-atlántica en invierno: relación entre patrones de teleconexión, frecuencia de bloqueo y tipos de tiempo. Servicio de Variabilidad y Predicción del Clima Technical Note No. 6, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, Madrid, Spain.
  9. Pastor, M.A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M.J. Casado (2002). Estudio de los patrones de teleconexión hemisfiéricos de los reanalysis ERA y NCEP para el período 1979-1993 en invierno. Servicio de Variabilidad y Predicción del Clima Technical Note No. 7, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, Madrid, Spain.
  10. Anderson, D., T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, F. Vitart, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Hagedorn, T. Jung, A. Vidard, A. Troccoli, and T.N. Palmer (2003). Comparison of the ECMWF seasonal forecast systems 1 and 2, including the relative performance for the 1997/8 El Niño. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 404, 95 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  11. Coelho C.A.S., S. Pezzulli, M. Balmaseda, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and D.B. Stephenson (2003). Skill of coupled model seasonal forecasts: A Bayesian assessment of ECMWF ENSO forecasts. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 426, 16 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  12. Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Díez, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres, M. C. Thomson (2004). Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER). ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 434, 25 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  13. Coelho C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, M. Balmaseda, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and G. J. van Oldenborgh (2005). Towards an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 461, 26 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  14. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn, T.N. Palmer and J.-J. Morcrette (2005). Impact of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in seasonal ensemble forecasts. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 476, 9 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  15. Casado, M.J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M.A. Pastor (2006). Northern Hemisphere wintertime teleconnections: impact of time averaging. AEMCC Technical Note No. 1, 24 pp, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, Madrid, Spain.
  16. Pastor, M.A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M.J. Casado (2006). Low-frequency climate patterns and ENSO events for the period 1961-2000. AEMCC Technical Note No. 2, 24 pp, Instituto Nacional de Meteorología, Madrid, Spain.
  17. Anderson, D., T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, F. Vitart, F. Molteni, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, K. Mogensen and A. Vidard (2007). Development of the ECMWF seasonal forecast System 3. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 503, 56 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  18. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, P. Rogel, E. Da Costa, N. Keenlyside, M. Balmaseda, J. Murphy, D. Smith, M. Collins, B. Bhaskaran, and T. Palmer (2007). Initialisation strategies for decadal hindcasts for the 1960-2005 period within the ENSEMBLES project. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 521, 10 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  19. Xavier, P.K., J.-P. Duvel, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2007). Representation of the tropical intraseasonal variability and its impact on seasonal predictability in a multi-model ensemble. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 522, 42 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  20. Morcrette, J.-J, P. Bechtold, A. Beljaars, A. Benedetti, A. Bonet, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, J. Hague, M. Hamrud, J. Haseler, J.W. Kaiser, M. Leutbecher, G. Mozdzynski, M. Razinger, D. Salmond, S. Serrar, M. Suttie, A. Tompkins, A. Untch, and A. Weisheimer (2007). Recent advances in radiation transfer parametrizations. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 539, 50 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  21. Casado, M.J., M.A. Pastor, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2008). Euro-Atlantic circulation types and modes of variability in winter in ERA-40 and NCEP reanalysis. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 550, 16 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  22. Bechtold, P., M. Koehler, T. Jung, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Leutbecher, M.J. Rodwell, F. Vitart, and G. Balsamo (2008). Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: from synoptic to decadal time-scales. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 556, 22 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  23. Pastor, M.A., M.J. Casado, and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2008). Climate model validation in the Euro-Atlantic domain using circulation types. AEMCC Technical Note No. 4, 44 pp, Agencia Espanola de Meteorología, Madrid, Spain.
  24. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A. Weisheimer, M. Déqué, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J.M. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith and T.N. Palmer (2008). Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 560, 32 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  25. Anderson, D.L.T., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda and A. Weisheimer (2009). Decadal variability: processes, predictability and prediction. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 591, 47 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  26. Palmer, T.N., R. Buizza, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T. Jung, M. Leutbecher, G.J. Shutts, M. Steinheimer and A Weisheimer (2009). Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 598, 42 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  27. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A Weisheimer, T.N. Palmer, J.M. Murphy and D. Smith (2010). Forecast quality assessment of the ENSEMBLES seasonal-to-decadal Stream 2 hindcasts. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 621, 45 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.
  28. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M.A. Balmaseda, A Weisheimer and T.N. Palmer (2010). Decadal climate prediction with the ECMWF coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations. ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 633, 24 pp, ECMWF, Reading, UK.

Other publications

  1. Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (1997). Effects of model horizontal resolution on midlatitude circulation and precipitation. In Proceedings of the Second Meeting HIRETYCS, 9-16.
  2. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., M. Déqué, and J.-Ph. Piedelievre (1998). Impact of resolution on variability in the CNRM runs. In Proceedings of the Third Meeting HIRETYCS, 17-26.
  3. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and R. Hagedorn (2003). DEMETER: Multi-model seasonal predictions in a public domain. CLIVAR Exchanges, 8, no. 2/3, electronic supplement.
  4. Morse, A.P., M. Hoshen, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M. Thomson (2003). Towards forecasting epidemics in Africa - the use of seasonal forecasting. CLIVAR Exchanges, 8, no. 2/3, 50-52.
  5. Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (2003). DEMETER: Multi-model seasonal predictions for the public domain. Weather, 58, 170.
  6. Hagedorn, R., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and T.N. Palmer (2003). DEMETER and the application of seasonal forecasts. Proceedings of the ECMWF Seminar on Predictability of Weather and Climate, 295-306.
  7. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and R. Hagedorn (2003). DEMETER: Development of a European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to interannual prediction. ECMWF Newsletter, 99, 8-17.
  8. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn, T.N. Palmer and J.-Ph. Duvel (2004). Tropical Intra-seasonal oscillations in the DEMETER multi-model system. Proceedings of the ECMWF Workshop on Simulation and Prediction of Intra-Seasonal Variability with Emphasis on the MJO, 259-269.
  9. Casado, M.J., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M.A. Pastor (2004). Variabilidad interanual de la frecuencia de bloqueo en el Hemisferio Norte. Revista Física de la Tierra, 16, 25-35.
  10. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., R. Hagedorn, M. Alonso Balmaseda and T.N. Palmer (2004). Multi-model seasonal forecasting for the North Atlantic and Europe. Revista Física de la Tierra, 16, 115-125.
  11. Morse, A.P., P. Cantelaube, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, L. Dubus, C. Fil, R. Hagedorn, M. B. Hoshen, V. Marletto, J.M. Terres, M. C. Thomson and T. N. Palmer (2004). DEMETER: A first step or giant leap in the use of a seasonal ensemble prediction system for application users? CLIVAR Exchanges, 9, no. 2, 9-13.
  12. Rodwell, M., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Cassou and L. Terray (2004). Predictability and prediction of European climate. CLIVAR Exchanges, 9, no. 3, 28-31.
  13. Coelho C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and M. Balmaseda (2005). From multi-model ensemble predictions to well-calibrated probability forecasts: Seasonal rainfall forecasts over South America 1959-2001. CLIVAR Exchanges, 10, no. 1, 14-20.
  14. Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (2005). Predicción estacional dinámica del clima y sus aplicaciones. Boletín Asociación Meteorológica Española, no. 10, 10-15.
  15. Palmer, T.N., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A.Weisheimer and M. J. Rodwell (2007). Seasonal forecast datasets - A resource for calibrating regional climate change projections? CLIVAR Exchanges, 12, no. 4, 6-7.
  16. Molteni, F., T. Stockdale, M. Balmaseda, L. Ferranti, F. Vitart, K. Mogensen, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Anderson, A. Vidard (2007). ECMWF seasonal forecast System 3. CLIVAR Exchanges, 12, no. 4, 7-9.
  17. Coelho C.A.S., D.B. Stephenson, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda and R. Graham (2007). Integrated seasonal climate forecasts for South America. CLIVAR Exchanges, 12, no. 4, 13-14.
  18. Duvel, J.P., H. Bellenger, P.K. Xavier and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2008). Air-sea process in the Indian Ocean and the intraseasonal oscillation. Proceedings of ECMWF Workshop on Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction, 83-92.
  19. Stockdale, T., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and L. Ferranti (2009). EUROSIP: multi-model seasonal forecasting. ECMWF Newsletter, 118, 10-16.
  20. Pastor, M.A., M.J. Casado and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2009). How different circulation-type clasifications can discriminate NAO phases? Revista Física de la Tierra, 21, 143-153.
  21. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes and T.N. Palmer (2010). Model uncertainty in seasonal to decadal forecasting. Insight from the ENSEMBLES project. ECMWF Newsletter, 122, 21-26.
  22. Doblas-Reyes, F.J., G.J. van Oldenborgh, J. García-Serrano, H. Pohlmann, A.A. Scaife and D. Smith (2011). CMIP5 near-term climate prediction. CLIVAR Exchanges, 56, 8-11.
Peer review journal articles | Books and book chapters | Reports and briefing documents | Other publications | Home Page Menu